Tropical Storm Melissa Grows Stronger As It Heads Toward the Island Nation
Cyclone the storm is forecast to escalate to a infrequent Category 5 storm as it shifts towards Jamaica, bringing deadly rapid inundation and landslides.
The hurricane, which recorded winds of up to 120 mph as of 06:00 GMT, is presently veering toward the northwest in the Caribbean Sea and is expected to make landfall by early next week, based on data from meteorological authorities.
Warnings of electricity outages and disruption to utilities have been issued as this storm generates up to 76cm of rain and storm surges as high as thirteen feet above ground. "Take cover without delay," inhabitants have been told.
This hurricane is the 13th cyclone in the current Atlantic season, which usually concludes in November.
Highest-Level Storm Risk
A category five hurricane is the strongest type, with sustained winds of at least 157 miles per hour.
While this storm is expected to weaken to a fourth-level storm before making landfall on Jamaica, meteorologists said there was "almost no noticeable change in the general consequences" upon landfall, and that the cyclone will be "at least that intensity" when it hits the island.
Critical Preparations
With tropical storm-level wind and rainfall anticipated well in advance well before it crosses the island's interior - possibly even the national capital - alerts indicate that "preparations should be rushed to completion".
"A multi-day period of destructive gusts and intense precipitation has started and will cause catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding and numerous mudslides," advised meteorological officials.
Jamaican Prime Minister Andrew Holness commented: "I realize that there are countless citizens who are concerned, who are extremely apprehensive, and with good reason: concern is justified.
"But the best way to handle anxiety and any unease and concern is to stay ready."
Residents are being told to secure their homes with sandbags and timber panels, and to gather necessary supplies.
Broader Impact
Warnings are also in effect for regions of the neighboring country encompassing the main city, Port au Prince, the Dominican Republic and the eastern part of Cuba, where Melissa is expected to bring analogous consequences by the midweek period.
Rock slides already being caused by the storm have already killed two in the country, according to the nation's Civil Protection agency.
Expected Trajectory
This weather system is predicted to move across Cuba by midweek before traveling via the Antillas Mayores and out into the open ocean.
By the moment it arrives at the Caribbean nation, it is forecast to have reduced to a Category 3 storm.
Climate Background
Even though it is hard to associate individual weather events to environmental shifts, researchers say it is making climate patterns more prevalent and more intense.
Warmer oceans create additional humidity in the atmosphere, aiding in the creation of storms.
Prior to the start of this year's Caribbean cyclone season, climate agencies projected above-normal activity, citing warmer seas and likely stronger monsoon activity around West Africa - where tropical systems often form.